Žiga Malek and Peter Verburg in Global Environmental Change on Global change effects on Mediterranean land management

The study published in Global Environmental Change studied how future climate change and increased demands for food and living space, will result in changes to land use and land management.

05/03/2018 | 4:22 PM

The research was performed by Žiga Malek and Peter Verburg from IVM, and colleagues from the Research Institute for the Conservation of Mediterranean wetlands Tour du Valat and the Mediterranean Institute of marine and terrestrial Biodiversity and Ecology IMBE in France.

The researchers applied a novel land system modelling approach to study two different scenarios of future crop production and environmental protection. The two scenarios presented two different pathways on how to satisfy the growing demands for annual and permanent crops, grazing livestock and space for urban areas. The growth scenario presented a future, where crop production is the main priority of the region, and urban and cropland expansion have priority. The sustainability scenario presented a future, where the protected area network is expanded, and water extraction for irrigation is reduced. 

Water demand figureThe results suggests that protecting traditional Mediterranean landscapes and other areas of high biodiversity values, and improving water resources to reduce water scarcity is possible without compromising food security.

For more information, see the article:

Malek, Ž., Verburg, P.H., Geijzendorffer, I.R., Bondeau, A. & Cramer, W. (2018). Global change effects on land management in the Mediterranean region. Global Environmental Change, 50, 238–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.04.007