Prof. R.S.J. Tol



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+31 20 59 85532
9a-64, c-536
r.s.j.tol@vu.nl
school of business & economics ( ruimtelijke economie ), faculteit der aard- en levenswetenschappen ( dep. environmental economics )
Full Professor

Summary

Richard S.J. Tol is interested in the application of economic, mathematical and statistical techniques, such as time series analysis, valuation, decision analysis, game theory, and integrated modelling, to environmental problems, in particular climate change, tourism, land use, and water management. He is ranked among the top 250 economists in the world, and has 148 publications in learned journals (with 102 co-authors), 3 books, 5 major reports, 35 book chapters, and many minor publications. He is known for his work on impacts of, and adaptation to climate change. He developed the Climate Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation and Distribution, an integrated assessment model for climate change. He is an editor for Energy Economics, and an associate editor of Economics. He is advisor and referee of national and international policy and research. He is an author (contributing, lead, principal and convening) of Working Groups I, II and III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, shared winner of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007; an author and editor of the UNEP Handbook on Methods for Climate Change Impact Assessment and Adaptation Strategies; and a GTAP Research Fellow. He is actively involved in the European Climate Forum, the European Forum on Integrated Environmental Assessment, and the Energy Modeling Forum.

Richard S.J. Tol is also professor at the Department of Economics, University of Sussex (since 2012), r.tol 'at' sussex.ac.uk, link to his personal page.

Academic training

1997 PhD Economics, VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
1992 MSc Econometrics, VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Professional employment history

2008-present

Professor of the Economics of Climate Change, Institute for Environmental Studies & Department of Spatial Economics, VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

2006-present

Research Professor, Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin, Ireland

1998-2008

Adjunct Professor, Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA

2000-2006

Michael Otto Professor of Sustainability and Global Change, Department of Geosciences and Department of Economics, Hamburg University, and Director, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Centre for Marine and Atmospheric Science, Hamburg, Germany

1992-2007

Researcher, Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Awards

      Nobel Peace Prize 2007 (together with Albert A. Gore Jr and some 5,000 IPCC members)

      GTAP Research Fellow 2007-2010 “in recognition of his innovative applications of the GTAP Data Base in the field of environmental economics”

      Global IDEAS/RePEc rank: 212 (April 2009)

Selected publications

Link to publication list at University of Sussex

Anthoff, D., Estrada, F. & Tol, R.S.J. (forthcoming). Shutting down the thermohaline circulation. American Economic Review.

Tol, R.S.J. (forthcoming). Economic impacts of climate change. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy.

Hwang, I.C., Tol, R.S.J. & Hofkes, M.W. (2016). Fat-tailed risk about climate change and climate policy. Energy Policy, 89, 25–35.

Tol, R.S.J. (2016). The impacts of climate change according to the IPCC. Climate Change Economics, 7(1), 1640004.

Estrada, F., Botzen, W. & Tol, R.S.J. (2015). Economic losses from US hurricanes consistent with an influence from climate change. Nature Geoscience, 8, 880–884.

Anthoff, D. & Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Climate Policy under Fat-Tailed Risk: An Application of FUND. Annals of Operations Research, 220(1), 223–237.

Arent, D.J., Tol, R.S.J., Faust, E., Hella, J.P., Kumar, S., Strzepek, K.M., Toth, F.L. & Yan, D. (2014). Key Economic Sectors and Services. In Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Dokken, D.J., Mach, K.J., Mastandrea, M.D., Bilir, T.E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K.L., Estrada, Y.O., Genova, R.C., Girma, B., Kissel, E.S., Levy, A.N., MacCracken, S., Mastandrea, P.R. & White, LL. (eds), Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects – Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Arrow, K.J., Cropper, M., Gollier, C., Groom, B., Heal, G.M., Newell, R., Nordhaus, W.D., Pindyck, R., Pizer, W., Portney, P., Sterner, T., Tol, R.S.J. & Weitzman, M.L. (2014). Should a Declining Discount Rate be used in Project Analysis. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 8(2), 145–163.

Buhaug, H., Nordkvelle, J., Bernauer, T., Boehmelt, T., Brzoska, M., Busby, J.W., Ciccone, A., Fjelde, H., Gartzke, E., Gleditsch, N.P., Goldstone, J.A., Hegre, H., Holtermann, H., Koubi, V., Link, J.S.A., Link, P.M., Lujala, P., O’Loughlin, J., Raleigh, C., Scheffran, J., Schilling, J., Smith, T.G., Theisne, O.M., Tol, R.S.J., Urdal, H. & von Uexkull, N. (2014). One Effect to Rule Them All? A Comment on Climate and Conflict. Climatic Change, 127(3-4), 391–397.

Calzadilla, A., Zhu, T., Rehdanz, K., Tol, R.S.J. & Ringler, C. (2014). Climate Change and agriculture: Impacts and Adaptation Option in South Africa. Water Resources and Economics, 5, 24–48.

Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A.T., Perrette, M., Nicholls, R.J., Tol, R.S. J., Marzeion, B., Fettweish, X., Ionescu, C. & Levermann, A. (2014). Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9), 3292–3297.

McDermott, T.K., Barry, F. & Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Disasters and Development: Natural Disasters, Credit Constraints and Economic Growth. Oxford Economic Papers, 66(4), 750–773.

Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Climate Economics – The Economics of Climate, Climate Change, and Climate Policy. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Quantifying the Consensus on Anthropogenic Global Warming in the Literature: A Re-analysis. Energy Policy, 73, 701–705.

Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Quantifying the Consensus on Anthropogenic Global Warming in the Literature: Rejoinder. Energy Policy, 73, 709.

Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Ambiguity Reduction by Objective Model Selection, with an Application to the Costs of the EU 2030 Climate Targets. Energies, 7(11), 6886–6896.

Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Bootstraps for Meta-Analysis with an Application to the Total Economic Impact of Climate Change. Computational Economics, 46(2), 287–303.

Tol, R.S.J. (2014). Bootstraps for Meta-Analysis with an Application to the Total Economic Impact of Climate Change. Computational Economics, 46(2), 287–303.

Anthoff, D. & Tol, R.S.J. (2013). The Uncertainty about the Social Cost of Carbon: A Decomposition Analysis using FUND. Climatic Change, 117(3), 515–530. ‘Erratum’, Climatic Change, 121(2), 413.

Arrow, K.J., Cropper, M., Gollier, C., Groom, B., Heal, G.M., Newell, R., Nordhaus, W.D., Pindyck, R., Pizer, W., Portney, P., Sterner, T., Tol, R.S.J. & Weitzman, M.L. (2013). Determining benefits and costs for future generations. Science, 341, 349–350.

Hinkel, J., Nicholls, R.J., Tol, R.S.J., Wang, Z.B., Hamilton, J.M., Boot, G., Vafeidis, A.T., McFadden, L., Ganopolski, A. & Klein, R.J.T. (2013). A global analysis of erosion of sandy beaches and sea-level rise: An application of DIVA. Global and Planetary Change,111, 150–158.

Hwang, I.C., Reynes, F. & Tol, R.S.J. (2013). Climate Policy under Fat-Tailed Risk: An Application of DICE. Environmental and Resource Economics, 56(3), 415–436.

Lynch, M.T., Shortt, A., Tol, R.S.J. & O’Malley, M. (2013). Risk-Return Incentives in Liberalized Electricity Markets. Energy Economics, 40, 598–608.

Moro, M., Mayor, K., Lyons, S. & Tol, R.S.J. (2013). Does the Housing Market Reflect Cultural Heritage? A Case Study of Greater Dublin. Environment and Planning A, 45(12), 2884–2903.

Tol, R.S.J. (2013). Identifying Excellent Researchers: A New Approach. Journal of Informetrics, 7(4), 803–810.

Tol, R.S.J. (2013). Targets for global climate policy: an overview.Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37(5), 911–928. ISSN 0165-1889.

Tol, R.S.J. (2013). Low probability, high impact: the implications of a break-up of China for carbon dioxide emissions. Climatic Change, 117(4), 961–970. ISSN 0165-0009.

Tol, R.S.J. (2013). The economic impact of climate change in the 20th and 21st centuries. Climatic Change, 11 (4), 795–808. ISSN 0165-0009.

Anthoff, D. & Tol, R.S.J. (2013). The uncertainty about the social cost of carbon: a decomposition analysis using FUND.Climatic Change, 117(3), 515–530. ISSN 0165-0009.

Tol, R.S.J. (2013). The Matthew effect for cohorts of economists.Journal of Informetrics, 7(2), 522–527. ISSN 1751-1577.

Tol, R.S.J. (2013). Climate policy under the Bentham-Rawls criterion.Economics Letters, 118(3), 424–428. ISSN 0165-1765.

Ancillary activities

University of Sussex, Department of Economics - Professor Brighton, 01 januari 2011
Last changes Ancillary activities: Amsterdam 06 februari 2017