Prof. J.C.J.H. Aerts

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+31 20 59 89528
faculteit der bètawetenschappen ( dep. water & climate risk )


Jeroen Aerts is director of the Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) , the oldest multidisciplinary environmental research institute in the Netherlands. IVM has a total of 120 FTE Staff and PhD’s divided over 4 departments. Within IVM, Jeroen is also head of the department ‘Water and Climate Risk’. Jeroen has an established an internationally- recognized leading position in the field of water and climate risk management with 12 key publications in Nature, Science and PNAS (H index: 41). In 2007 he was appointed to the chair in Risk and Insurance, and in 2012 to a second chair in Risk and Water management. Jeroen currently supervises a research group, with 6 academic staff, 20 PhD students and 5 post-docs addressing various aspects of water and climate risk management. He has developed and applied a wide range of assessment and modeling methods to analyze water risk (flood/drought) and climate adaptation at scales from local to global. The methods include: hydrological modeling, insurance, catastrophe modeling, agent based modeling, scenario analysis, pathways, and optimization. On the basis of scientific results in the area of climate and flood risk modeling, Jeroen was awarded by the prestigious NWO-VICI grant (1.5 mln Euros) in 2014. Jeroen also won the best paper award of the Journal of Risk Analysis in 2012 and 2013. He also won the Lloyds science of Risk prize in 2014, for his paper on flood risk in New York City, published in Science.

Jeroen started his career as a spatial GIS modeler and hydrological modeling specialist at Resource Analysis ltd. After conducting a PhD research at the University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Jeroen started working in 2002 at the VU University in Amsterdam. Since then, Jeroen has developed an internationally recognized flood risk research group, in close collaboration with MIT, Princeton, Wharton, IIASA, Columbia University, and London School of Economics. Jeroen also signed an agreement with Potsdam University (Germany) and Vienna University (Austria) for an advanced PhD exchange program in the area of hydrology and Water Sciences. In early 2002, Jeroen co-initiated the first large scale climate adaptation research program in the Netherlands (‘Klimaat voor Ruimte’, 110 Million Euros of FES funding) and was responsible for the setup and coordination of all climate adaptation research projects (24mln Euros). In 2010, jeroen co –initiated a second FES funded program: ‘Knowlegde for Climate’, and was responsible for the coordination of all river and climate adaptation projects. Jeroen is scientific coordinator of the Connecting Delta Cities initiative under the Clinton C-40 global cities network, and Co-authored the OECD report on Water Security. His international work also includes research with Munich RE, Red Cross and UNISDR. Jeroen was advisor to Mayor Bloomberg of New York City on flood risk resilience issues, before and in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. Finally, he is coordinator of the EU ENHANCE project on risk and Natural Hazards and program director of the MSc Hydrology educational program at the VU.


Water management, Risk Management, Insurance, Decision support, Adaptation, Optimization techniques, climate change

Academic training



PhD. Spatial Optimization techniques and Decision Support systems.
UvA University of Amsterdam.


MSc, Physical Geography, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, UvA University of Amsterdam.

Professional employment history

2015DirectorInstitute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
2012Professor Water and RiskVU University Amsterdam
2010Program DirectorDutch River Management program, KvK (10 mln Euros)
2008Chair Connecting Delta CitiesClinton C-40 global cities
2007Professor Water and InsuranceVU University Amsterdam, Dep. Head
Program directorDutch adaptation program BSIK-KvR (24 mln Euros)
2005Associate ProfessorVU University Amsterdam
2001Senior ResearcherVU University Amsterdam
1999Visiting ScientistUniversity of California at Santa Barbara (UCSB)
1998HeadDivision Policy Analysis and GIS, Resource Analysis
1997CoordinatorGIS and Remote Sensing division, Resource Analysis
1992AdvisorDutch Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment

Selected publications

Link to full publication list at IVM since 2002
Winsemius, H.C., Aerts, J.C.J.H., van Beek, L.P.H., Bierkens, M.F.P., Bouwman, A., Jongman, B., Kwadijk, J., Ligtvoet, W., Lucas, P.L., van Vuuren, D.P. & Ward, P.J. (2016). Global drivers of future river flood risk.Nature Climate Change, 6, 381–385. doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2893

Jongman, B., Winsemius, H., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Coughlan de Perez, E., van Aalst, M.K., Kron, W. & Ward, P.J. Declining vulnerability to river floods and the global benefits of adaptation. PNAS. E2271–E2280. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1414439112

Aerts, C.J.H.J., Botzen, W.J.W., Emanuel, K., Lin, N., de Moel, H. & Michel-Kerjan, E. O. (2014). Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities. Science, 344, 473–475.

Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J. (2014). Cities’ response to climate risks. NatureClimate Change,4(9), 759–760.

Jongman, B., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Feyen, L., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Mechler, R., Botzen, W.W.J., Bouwer, L.M., Pflug, G.C., Rojas, R. & Ward, P.J. (2014). Increasing stress on disaster-risk finance due to large floods. NatureClimate Change, 4(4), 264–268.

Mechler, R., Bayer, J., Surminski, S., Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Williges, K. (2014) Managing unnatural disaster risk from climate extremes. NatureClimate Change, 4(4), 235–237.

Aerts, J.C.J.H., Botzen, W.J. & de Moel, H. (2013). Cost Estimates for Flood Resilience and Protection Strategies in New York City. Annals of the New York Academy of Science,1294(1), 1–104.

Aerts, J.C.J.H., Emanuel, K., Lin, N., de Moel. & Botzen, W.J (2013). Low-probability flood risk modeling for New York City. Risk Analysis, 33(5), 772–88.  DOI: 10.1111/risa.12008
Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2012). Hurricane Irene: a Wake Up Call for New York City?  Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2012, 1837–1840.

Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2012). Managing Exposure to flooding in New York City (NYC).  Nature Climate Change, 2, 377.

Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2011). Climate Change Impacts on pricing Long-Term Flood Insurance: A Comprehensive Study for the Netherlands.Global Environmental Change, 21(3), 1045–1060.

Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2011). Flood-resilient waterfront development in New York City: bridging flood insurance, building codes, and flood zoning.  Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1227(1), 1–82.

Aerts, J.C.J.H., Botzen, W.J.W., van der Veen, A., Krywkow, J. & Werners, S. (2008). Dealing with uncertainty in flood management through diversification.Ecology and Society, 13(1), art. 41.

Aerts, J.C.J.H., Lasage, R., Beets, W., de Moel, H. & de Vries, A. (2007). Robustness of sand storage dams under climate change. Vadose Zone Journal, 6, 572–580.

Aerts, J.C.J.H., Renssen, H., Ward, P.J., de Moel, H., Odada, E., Bouwer, L.M. & Goosen, H. (2006). Sensitivity of global river discharges under Holocene and future climate conditions.Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (19), 1–5.

Bouwer, L.M. & Aerts, J.C.J.H. (2006). Financing climate change adaptation.Disasters, 30(1), 49–63.

Kabat, P., Vellinga, P., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Veraart, J. & van Viersen, J. (2005). Climate proofing The Netherlands.Nature, 438, 283–284.

Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Heuvelink, G.B.M. (2002). Using simulated annealing for resource allocation.International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 16, 571–587.


Ancillary activities

No ancillary activities
Last changes Ancillary activities: Amsterdam 27 januari 2017