Key Publications

Aerts, J.C., Botzen, W.J., Clarke, K.C., Cutter, S.L., Hall, J.W., Merz, B., ... & Kunreuther, H. (2018). Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment. Nature Climate Change, 8(3), 193–199.

Bloemendaal, N., Haigh, I.D., de Moel, H., Muis, S., Haarsma, R.J. & Aerts, J.C.J.H.. Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM. Scientific Data, 7, 40 (2020).

Couasnon, A., Eilander, D., Muis, S., Veldkamp, T.I.E., Haigh, I.D., Wahl, T., Winsemius, H.C., & Ward, P.J. ). Measuring compound flood potential from river discharge and storm surge extremes at the global scale. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20, 489–504.

Coumou, D., Di Capua, G., Vavrus, S., Wang, L. & Wang, S. (2018). The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation. Nature Communications, 9(1), 1-12.

de Bruijn, J.A., de Moel, H., Jongman, B., de Ruiter, M.C., Wagemaker, J., & Aerts, J. C. (2019). A global database of historic and real-time flood events based on social media. Scientific Data, 6(1), 1–2.

Di Baldassarre, Giuliano, Wanders, N., AghaKouchak, A., Kuil, L., Rangecroft, S., Veldkamp, T.I.E., Garcia, M., van Oel, P.R., Breinl, K. & van Loon, A.F. (2018). Water shortages worsened by reservoir effects. Nature Sustainability, 11, 617–622.

Haer, T., Botzen, W.W., & Aerts, J.C. (2019). Advancing disaster policies by integrating dynamic adaptive behaviour in risk assessments using an agent-based modelling approach. Environmental Research Letters, 14(4), 044022.

van Loon, A.F. (2015). Hydrological drought explained. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews:Water, 2(4), 359–392.

Koks, E.E., Thissen, M., Alfieri, L., de Moel, H., Feyen, L., Jongman, B., & Aerts, J.C.J.H. (2019). The macroeconomic impacts of future river flooding in Europe. Environmental Research Letters, 14(8), 084042.

Kornhuber, K., Coumou, D., Vogel, E., Lesk, C., Donges, J. F., Lehmann, J., & Horton, R.M. (2020). Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions. Nature Climate Change, 10(1), 48–53.

Muis, S., Verlaan, M., Winsemius, H.C., Aerts, J.C., & Ward, P.J. (2016). A global reanalysis of storm surges and extreme sea levels. Nature Communications, 7(1), 1–12.

Muis, S., Lin, N., Verlaan, M., Winsemius, H.C., Ward, P.J. & Aerts, J.C.J.H. (2019). Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts. Scientific Reports, 9, 3391.

Nobre, G.G., Davenport, F., Bischiniotis, K., Veldkamp, T., Jongman, B., Funk, C.C., ... & Aerts, J.C. (2019). Financing agricultural drought risk through ex-ante cash transfers. Science of the Total Environment, 653, 523–535.

Pfleiderer, P., Schleussner, C. F., Kornhuber, K. & Coumou, D. (2019). Summer weather becomes more persistent in a 2° C world. Nature Climate Change, 9(9), 666–671.

de Ruig, L.T., Barnard, P. L., Botzen, W.W., Grifman, P., Hart, J. F., de Moel, H., ... & Aerts, J.C. (2019). An economic evaluation of adaptation pathways in coastal mega cities: An illustration for Los Angeles. Science of the Total Environment, 678, 647–659.

de Ruiter, M.C., Couasnon, A., van den Homberg, M.J., Daniell, J.E., Gill, J.C. & Ward, P.J. (2019). Why we can no longer ignore consecutive disasters. Earth’s Future.

Scussolini, P., Bakker, P., Guo, C., Stepanek, C., Zhang, Q., Braconnot, P., ... & Ward, P.J. (2019). Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial. Science Advances, 5(11), eaax7047.

Ward, P.J., Couasnon, A., Eilander, D., Haigh, I.D., Hendry, A., Muis, S., Veldkamp, T.I.E., Winsemius, H.C. & Wahl, T. (2018). Dependence between high sea-level and high river discharge increases flood hazard in global deltas and estuaries. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 084012.

Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., van Den Hurk, B. J., Seneviratne, S. I., Ward, P.J., Pitman, A., ... & Zhang, X. (2018). Future climate risk from compound events. Nature Climate Change, 8(6), 469–477.